Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.001375 0.001527 0.001679 0.001841 0.002009 0.002179 0.002361
2025-09-14 0.001108 0.001342 0.001583 0.001848 0.002129 0.002418 0.002736
2025-09-21 0.000954 0.001232 0.001526 0.001855 0.002210 0.002579 0.002988
2025-09-28 0.000840 0.001154 0.001492 0.001876 0.002296 0.002737 0.003230
2025-10-05 0.000734 0.001073 0.001445 0.001876 0.002351 0.002854 0.003420
2025-10-12 0.000647 0.001007 0.001410 0.001882 0.002408 0.002969 0.003605
2025-10-19 0.000590 0.000970 0.001404 0.001917 0.002494 0.003112 0.003817
2025-10-26 0.000552 0.000953 0.001417 0.001971 0.002599 0.003274 0.004046
2025-11-02 0.000447 0.000847 0.001322 0.001898 0.002558 0.003274 0.004096
2025-11-09 0.000377 0.000778 0.001268 0.001870 0.002564 0.003323 0.004198
2025-11-16 0.000321 0.000725 0.001228 0.001856 0.002586 0.003387 0.004316
2025-11-23 0.000280 0.000687 0.001206 0.001861 0.002627 0.003472 0.004454
2025-11-30 0.000249 0.000665 0.001207 0.001897 0.002710 0.003610 0.004659
2025-12-07 0.000204 0.000620 0.001178 0.001898 0.002753 0.003704 0.004816
2025-12-14 0.000169 0.000584 0.001158 0.001907 0.002803 0.003804 0.004978
2025-12-21 0.000142 0.000557 0.001148 0.001928 0.002866 0.003918 0.005155
2025-12-28 0.000111 0.000520 0.001122 0.001927 0.002902 0.004000 0.005296
2026-01-04 0.000086 0.000489 0.001103 0.001933 0.002946 0.004090 0.005444
2026-01-11 0.000072 0.000476 0.001108 0.001969 0.003024 0.004219 0.005635
2026-01-18 0.000064 0.000475 0.001128 0.002024 0.003124 0.004373 0.005854
2026-01-25 0.000030 0.000405 0.001048 0.001950 0.003070 0.004348 0.005870
2026-02-01 0.000013 0.000363 0.001005 0.001921 0.003067 0.004382 0.005952
2026-02-08 0.000004 0.000330 0.000975 0.001908 0.003082 0.004435 0.006056